My Account Log Out

reorder

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

This year, the weak Patriots pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 66.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the 10th-biggest rate in the league.

The New England cornerbacks project as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual game plan.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a less important option in his team's pass attack this year (7.7% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (12.8%).

With a feeble 54.0% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.

More Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™