Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 1:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 62.0% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
This year, the anemic Green Bay Packers pass defense has conceded a colossal 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 8th-worst rate in football.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 5.5 points.
At the present time, the 10th-slowest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Packers, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.4 per game) this year.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 7.0% Target Rate this year indicates a noteworthy decrease in his pass game workload over last year's 12.8% rate.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 1.4 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a noteable decrease in his receiving talent over last year's 2.4 figure.

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