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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-161/+121).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-oriented offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 72.4% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 5th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 53.9% to 59.5%.

The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Completion% in the NFL (69.5%) vs. wideouts this year (69.5%).

The Los Angeles Rams safeties grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 32.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 40.7.

The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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