Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards

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NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Saints are predicted by the projections to run 66.0 plays on offense in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.
The Carolina Panthers pass defense has yielded the 6th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.7%) vs. wide receivers this year (69.7%).
This year, the anemic Panthers defense has been torched for the 6th-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a monstrous 8.80 yards.
When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Carolina's safety corps has been lousy this year, grading out as the 7th-worst in football.

Favors Under

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Saints being an enormous 7-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 52.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Panthers defense this year: 10th-fewest in the NFL.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 36.5% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a material decrease in his passing offense workload over last season's 65.2% rate.
After accumulating 44.0 air yards per game last year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a disappointment this year, currently averaging 25.0 per game.