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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 138.8 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may go down.

The model projects Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a more important option in his team's passing offense in this week's game (19.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (10.1% in games he has played).

After accumulating 44.0 air yards per game last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has produced significantly more this season, now sitting at 52.0 per game.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's receiving efficiency has improved this season, averaging 9.11 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 7.52 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

With a bad 49.7% Adjusted Completion Rate (18th percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

The Las Vegas Raiders defense has given up the 9th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 138.0) to WRs this year.

This year, the imposing Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 8th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a puny 7.8 yards.

More Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Props

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