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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New Orleans Saints vs Washington Commanders

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling out backup quarterback Jake Haener in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Saints being a huge -7.5-point underdog this week.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accounted for 9.3% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of New Orleans's pass game in this week's game at 18.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Saints to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 55.5% pass rate.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Commanders, totaling the 3rd-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.4 per game) this year.

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the worst in the league this year.

With a lackluster 52.8% Adjusted Completion% (23rd percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling places among the least sure-handed receivers in the league when it comes to wide receivers.

This year, the formidable Commanders pass defense has given up the least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 3.4 YAC.

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