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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Giants vs New Orleans Saints

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints to run the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has earned 7.6% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of New Orleans's pass game in this game at 16.5%.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 9.6 adjusted yards per target this season shows a significant boost in his receiving talent over last season's 7.5 figure.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 10.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a noteable boost in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 4.4% figure.

This year, the deficient Giants pass defense has surrendered a monstrous 68.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Saints being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in football.

The New Orleans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

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