My Account Log Out

reorder

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-121/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -121.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 68.9 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

While Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been responsible for 7.3% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of New Orleans's pass game this week at 17.0%.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 9.2 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a substantial progression in his receiving ability over last year's 7.5 rate.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling checks in as one of the best WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging an outstanding 6.62 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-least pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 56.7% pass rate.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Los Angeles Rams, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 31.5 per game) this year.

After accumulating 44.0 air yards per game last year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has fallen off this year, currently averaging 38.0 per game.

The New Orleans offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack stats across the board.

With a subpar 18.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (22nd percentile) this year, Marquez Valdes-Scantling places among the bottom pass-catching wide receivers in the league.

More Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™