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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New Orleans Saints vs Cleveland Browns

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 136.9 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.

Our trusted projections expect Marquez Valdes-Scantling to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing attack this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (6.3% in games he has played).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 8.7 adjusted yards per target this year shows a substantial growth in his receiving prowess over last year's 7.5 figure.

This year, the anemic Cleveland Browns defense has yielded the 4th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing WRs: a staggering 4.91 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the NFL (56.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the New Orleans Saints.

Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 5th-fewest in the league.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has compiled significantly fewer air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (44.0 per game).

The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been one of the worst WRs in the NFL this year, averaging just 15.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 18th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

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