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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is indicated by the Saints being a -3.5-point underdog in this game.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New Orleans Saints to pass on 58.9% of their plays: the 8th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to see 134.3 offensive plays run: the most among all games this week.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 59.1 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (22.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).

The New Orleans offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 5.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season shows a noteable diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 19.0 figure.

With a weak 48.3% Adjusted Completion% (16th percentile) since the start of last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling ranks among the most hard-handed receivers in football among wideouts.

The Falcons pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency versus WRs this year, yielding 7.25 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

More Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Props

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