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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chiefs to pass on 68.4% of their opportunities: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.1 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 10.0 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a material progression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 8.9 figure.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 6.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season reflects a significant gain in his efficiency in space over last season's 3.3% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a much smaller part of his offense's air attack this season (7.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (12.8%).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has totaled quite a few less air yards this year (44.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 26.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a noteable decline in his pass-catching ability over last season's 40.0 mark.
  • The Miami Dolphins pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.69 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in the league.
  • The Miami Dolphins safeties project as the best safety corps in the league this year in defending receivers.

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