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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 59.1% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a substantial improvement in his receiving prowess over last year's 54.3% mark.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 10.8 adjusted yards per target this season marks a meaningful growth in his receiving ability over last season's 8.9 mark.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 6.30 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a noteworthy boost in his efficiency in space over last season's 3.3% mark.
  • The Broncos pass defense has been gouged for the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (76.1%) to wideouts this year (76.1%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is implied by the Chiefs being a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 8th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to rely on the passing game too much against the Broncos, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a measly 34.1 per game) this year.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 6.6% Target Rate this year reflects a material reduction in his air attack workload over last year's 12.8% mark.
  • After averaging 66.0 air yards per game last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has seen a big decline this season, currently pacing 39.0 per game.

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