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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 65.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 58.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects a a remarkable growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 54.3% figure.
  • This year, the deficient Minnesota Vikings defense has surrendered a colossal 188.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 4th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a much smaller part of his team's pass attack this year (7.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.8%).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has notched far fewer air yards this year (46.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 23.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year conveys a a meaningful regression in his receiving proficiency over last year's 40.0 mark.
  • The Vikings safeties profile as the 2nd-best group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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