Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards

reorder

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 2, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Chiefs as the 8th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
When it comes to air yards, Marquez Valdes-Scantling grades out in the towering 75th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating an impressive 62.0 per game.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging an impressive 9.12 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 79th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to run the 11th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a less important option in his team's passing offense this year (6.2% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.8%).
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, hauling in just 55.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 4th percentile among wideouts
The New York Jets defense has given up the fewest receiving yards per game in the league (just 111.0) versus wideouts since the start of last season.