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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+190/-278).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +190.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.6% of their opportunities: the highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 4.50 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a substantial boost in his effectiveness in space over last season's 3.3% mark.

This year, the porous Buffalo Bills pass defense has surrendered a staggering 70.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 3rd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Bills, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 30.8 per game) this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been much less involved in his team's passing offense this year (7.1% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (12.8%).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has posted far fewer air yards this season (44.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year illustrates a material regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 40.0 figure.

More Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Props

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