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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's talent in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, accumulating 4.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.26 mark last season.

The Bengals defense has yielded the 4th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (183.0) versus wide receivers this year.

This year, the poor Bengals defense has allowed the most adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing WRs: a monstrous 10.06 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The predictive model expects the Chiefs to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this season (7.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (12.8%).

After totaling 66.0 air yards per game last season, Marquez Valdes-Scantling has gotten worse this season, now boasting 44.0 per game.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has compiled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (20.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).

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