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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Chiefs to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate among all teams this week.

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's talent in picking up extra yardage have been refined this year, averaging 4.60 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.26 mark last year.

This year, the poor Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has conceded a colossal 69.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the biggest rate in football.

This year, the weak Raiders defense has surrendered the 2nd-most yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a colossal 4.64 YAC.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 10.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Windy weather conditions (like the 15-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with worse passing efficiency, reduced air volume, and increased rush volume.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been much less involved in his team's passing game this season (7.4% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (12.8%).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accumulated far fewer air yards this season (46.0 per game) than he did last season (66.0 per game).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a remarkable drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 40.0 rate.

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