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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 129.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in football.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has posted a monstrous 66.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 78th percentile among wide receivers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing a mere 53.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 5th percentile among wide receivers
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have gone no-huddle on a mere 1.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have elected to go for it on 4th down a measly 15.8% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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