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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 64.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been less involved as a potential target this season (82.0% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (71.4%).

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 53.9% to 59.9%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-least in football.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (57.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this season, totaling just 4.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.04 mark last season.

The San Francisco 49ers defense has yielded the 8th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 136.0) versus wide receivers this year.

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