Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 64.8 plays per game.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has compiled a monstrous 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wideouts.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching just 55.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile among WRs
The Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has shown good efficiency vs. WRs since the start of last season, allowing 7.41 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.