Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 16, 2022 12:15 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 8th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 65.6 plays per game.
The Kansas City Chiefs have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense results when facing better conditions in this game.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has totaled a colossal 76.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the least sure-handed receivers in football, completing a measly 57.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 11th percentile among wide receivers
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has conceded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 130.0) versus WRs since the start of last season.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 7.81 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-least in the NFL.
The Kansas City Chiefs have faced a stacked the box on a measly 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.