Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards

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NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 12:31 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 67.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's pass-catching efficiency has gotten better this year, averaging 9.29 yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.73 mark last year.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 7th-most receiving yards per game in football (167.0) to wideouts this year.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a massive 8.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (81.0 per game).
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, completing a mere 55.4% of balls thrown his way this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile among WRs
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, totaling just 3.51 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.04 rate last year.
The Las Vegas Raiders pass defense has performed very well when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-least in the NFL.