Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards

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NFL · Player Props

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

WR · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 5:46 PM EST

Analysis

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to call the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 60.4 plays per game.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accumulated significantly more receiving yards per game (44.0) this season than he did last season (34.0).
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% increasing from 54.0% to 60.1%.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 32.5 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 4th-least in football.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (81.0 per game).
Marquez Valdes-Scantling's talent in generating extra yardage have worsened this year, averaging a mere 3.70 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 7.04 rate last year.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has allowed the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 127.0) versus wideouts this year.