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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 3rd-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 66.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 136.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has compiled many more receiving yards per game (47.0) this season than he did last season (35.0).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's ball-catching skills have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 53.9% to 63.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a massive 9.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game versus the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 9th-least in football.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has put up significantly fewer air yards this year (59.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's 32.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 40.7.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's ability to generate extra yardage has tailed off this season, notching just 3.69 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 7.04 rate last season.

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