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Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+253/-414).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -394 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -414.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 53.9% to 59.9%.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.60 seconds before getting pressured (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Kansas City Chiefs have utilized some form of misdirection on 67.9% of their plays since the start of last season (2nd-most in the league), which can keep the defense guessing and improve offensive efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.3 pass attempts per game vs. the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-least in football.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (57.0 per game) than he did last year (81.0 per game).

Marquez Valdes-Scantling ranks in the 1st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching TDs this year, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.

The San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to WRs: 0.33 per game this year.

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