My Account Log Out

reorder

Marquez Valdes-Scantling

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs

Marquez Valdes-Scantling Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+204/-307).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -244 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -307.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 7th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 64.8 plays per game.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has compiled a monstrous 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 82nd percentile among wideouts.

The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has given up the 6th-most passing TDs in the league to wide receivers: 1.21 per game since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Chiefs are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL, catching just 55.4% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 7th percentile among WRs

The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has surrendered the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (62%) to WRs since the start of last season (62.0%).

The Kansas City Chiefs have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 9.3% of their plays since the start of last season, least in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More Marquez Valdes-Scantling Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™