Marquez Callaway Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Marquez Callaway

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM EST

Analysis

Marquez Callaway Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Marquez Callaway to be much more involved in his team's pass attack this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.3% in games he has played).
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks cornerbacks rank as the 5th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 32.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 7th-least in football.
Marquez Callaway has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league, hauling in just 56.6% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 9th percentile among wide receivers
The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
The New Orleans Saints have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.