Marquez Callaway Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Marquez Callaway

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Callaway

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Callaway Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup QB Andy Dalton this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
Marquez Callaway's skills in generating extra yardage have gotten a boost this year, accumulating 4.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 3.09 rate last year.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the league (192.0) versus wideouts this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 57.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Marquez Callaway has been used less as a potential target this year (51.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (79.1%).
Marquez Callaway has totaled significantly fewer air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
Marquez Callaway has compiled significantly fewer receiving yards per game (23.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).

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