Marquez Callaway Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Marquez Callaway

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Callaway

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Marquez Callaway Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+110/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Marquez Callaway's skills in generating extra yardage have been refined this year, averaging 4.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.09 rate last year.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (184.0) to wideouts this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Marquez Callaway has run fewer routes this season (52.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (79.1%).
Marquez Callaway has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
Marquez Callaway has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).
Marquez Callaway's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 56.6% to 49.3%.

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