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Marquez Callaway

Marquez Callaway Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Marquez Callaway Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+110/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be forced to utilize backup QB Andy Dalton in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 9th-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.79 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Marquez Callaway's skills in generating extra yardage have been refined this year, averaging 4.18 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.09 rate last year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 5th-most receiving yards per game in football (184.0) to wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 57.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Marquez Callaway has run fewer routes this season (52.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (79.1%).
  • Marquez Callaway has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (43.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
  • Marquez Callaway has compiled substantially fewer receiving yards per game (26.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).
  • Marquez Callaway's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 56.6% to 49.3%.

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