Marquez Callaway Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Marquez Callaway

NFL · Player Props

Marquez Callaway

WR · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM EST

Analysis

Marquez Callaway Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (+107/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 7th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 57.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Marquez Callaway has put up far fewer air yards this season (24.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
Marquez Callaway's receiving efficiency has declined this year, averaging a measly 6.36 yards-per-target compared to a 8.43 rate last year.
Marquez Callaway has been among the worst WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 3.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 13th percentile.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 140.0) versus wide receivers this year.

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