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Marquez Callaway

Marquez Callaway Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Marquez Callaway Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+339/-647).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +379 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +339.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Marquez Callaway to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game near the end zone this week (12.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.1% in games he has played).
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst unit in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game against the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 10th-least in football.
  • Marquez Callaway has compiled far fewer air yards this season (35.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
  • Marquez Callaway's 21.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 46.9.
  • Marquez Callaway's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 56.6% to 53.2%.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered the 3rd-least passing TDs in football to wide receivers: 0.33 per game this year.

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