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Marlon Mack

Marlon Mack Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Arizona Cardinals

Marlon Mack Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+350/-500).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Marlon Mack to be a more integral piece of his team's running game near the goal line this week (18.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).

Opposing offenses have run for the 9th-most touchdowns in football (1.08 per game) versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year.

The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos rank as the 8th-least run-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 38.5% red zone run rate.

Marlon Mack has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the smallest marks in the league among running backs (1st percentile).

The Denver Broncos have gone up against a stacked the box on 17.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on just 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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