Mark Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Mark Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Mark Ingram

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 21, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Mark Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has produced the 10th-worst efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing 4.81 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup QB Andy Dalton in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Mark Ingram has been a less important option in his offense's running game this season (29.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (48.7%).
Mark Ingram's running efficiency (3.85 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league this year (25th percentile among running backs).
The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year with their run defense.

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