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Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Mark Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -134.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
  • The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Mark Ingram has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (29.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (48.7%).
  • Mark Ingram has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).

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