Mark Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Mark Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Mark Ingram

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+110/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 42.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-fastest paced defense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 27.44 seconds per play.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year at opening holes for runners.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints will be rolling with backup quarterback Andy Dalton in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Saints are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Mark Ingram has been a much smaller piece of his offense's running game this year (29.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (48.7%).
Mark Ingram has rushed for quite a few less yards per game (27.0) this year than he did last year (39.0).

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