Mark Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Mark Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Mark Ingram

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 4:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Mark Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-170/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 48.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this game.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (46.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (32.8% in games he has played).
Opposing teams have run for the 9th-most yards in football (129 per game) versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 57.6 plays per game.
The New Orleans Saints O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Mark Ingram's running efficiency (3.56 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (11th percentile among running backs).
The Minnesota Vikings safeties profile as the best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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