Mark Ingram Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Mark Ingram

NFL · Player Props

Mark Ingram

RB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Mark Ingram Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 44.9% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 9th-most total plays among all teams this week with 64.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing squads have run for the 6th-most yards in the league (136 per game) versus the Atlanta Falcons defense since the start of last season.
The Atlanta Falcons linebackers project as the 4th-worst unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

Favors Under

The New Orleans Saints have called the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.9 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to be much less involved in his offense's run game this week (21.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (48.7% in games he has played).
The New Orleans Saints offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
Mark Ingram's ground efficiency (3.38 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (7th percentile among RBs).

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