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Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

New Orleans Saints vs Minnesota Vikings

Mark Ingram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 134.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 7th-most in the NFL.

THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to earn 3.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this week (10.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (2.8% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints have run the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 57.6 plays per game.

The New Orleans Saints have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this game.

The Minnesota Vikings pass defense has yielded the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (76.4%) versus running backs since the start of last season (76.4%).

The Minnesota Vikings safeties grade out as the 7th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.

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