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Mark Ingram
NFL · Player Props
Mark Ingram
RB · New Orleans Saints
Receptions
New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 19, 2022 2:50 AM UTC
NFL Props Mark Ingram Receptions

Mark Ingram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to notch 3.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.
Favors Under
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 14.3% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL), which generally means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
  • The New Orleans Saints have incorporated some form of misdirection on a lowly 38.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.
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