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Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Mark Ingram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run among all games this week at 134.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.8 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense since the start of last season: most in the league.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mark Ingram to notch 3.0 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 77th percentile among RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New Orleans Saints have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 60.6 plays per game.
  • Mark Ingram has notched a measly 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 24th percentile among running backs.
  • Mark Ingram has been among the least effective receivers in the NFL among running backs, averaging a mere 4.92 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 22nd percentile.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 4th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The New Orleans Saints have gone no-huddle on just 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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