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Mark Ingram

Mark Ingram Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Arizona Cardinals vs New Orleans Saints

Mark Ingram Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+125/-155).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New Orleans Saints to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.8% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints O-line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year at blocking for the run game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans Saints will be forced to start backup QB Andy Dalton in this week's game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Mark Ingram has been a less important option in his offense's running game this season (29.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (48.7%).

The Arizona Cardinals safeties grade out as the 2nd-best safety corps in football this year with their run defense.

The New Orleans Saints have faced a stacked the box on 23.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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