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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -167.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The leading projections forecast Mark Andrews to total 5.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 76th percentile among tight ends.

Mark Andrews's 81.6% Adjusted Catch% this season reflects an impressive gain in his pass-catching ability over last season's 74.4% mark.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Buffalo's unit has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Ravens to pass on 49.1% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Mark Andrews's 36.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 46.8.

Mark Andrews's 3.1 adjusted receptions per game this year marks a substantial decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.5 mark.

This year, the daunting Bills defense has allowed a feeble 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.

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