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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-138/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The predictive model expects Mark Andrews to total 5.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 86th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Mark Andrews's 86.2% Adjusted Completion% this year shows a significant progression in his receiving skills over last year's 74.4% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.55 seconds per play based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Mark Andrews's 32.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 46.8.
  • Mark Andrews's pass-catching performance worsened this season, accumulating a mere 3.3 adjusted catches compared to 4.5 last season.

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