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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

New York Giants vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are projected by our trusted projection set to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 10th-highest number among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect Mark Andrews to total 4.3 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 74.4% to 85.4%.

This year, the poor New York Giants pass defense has been torched for a staggering 92.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the biggest rate in the league.

The Giants safeties profile as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 16.5-point advantage, the Ravens are heavily favored this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 44.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game versus the New York Giants defense this year: fewest in the league.

Mark Andrews's 32.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 46.8.

Mark Andrews's pass-catching performance tailed off this season, accumulating just 3.3 adjusted catches compared to 4.5 last season.

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