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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year.
  • In this week's game, Mark Andrews is anticipated by the projection model to finish in the 75th percentile among TEs with 4.0 targets.
  • Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 74.4% to 82.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.
  • Mark Andrews's 30.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 46.8.
  • Mark Andrews's 2.9 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a substantial reduction in his receiving talent over last season's 4.5 figure.

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