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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.

The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, compelling opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (34.6 per game) this year.

The projections expect Mark Andrews to notch 4.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Mark Andrews's 84.3% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies an impressive growth in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 74.4% figure.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Cincinnati's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.

The leading projections forecast the Ravens as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Mark Andrews's 28.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this year than it was last year at 46.8.

Mark Andrews's 2.7 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a significant reduction in his receiving ability over last year's 4.5 rate.

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