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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Arizona Cardinals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Ravens offensive blueprint to lean 3.2% more towards the passing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Todd Monken now calling the plays.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Mark Andrews is forecasted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 7.0 targets.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Ravens grades out as the 9th-best in the league this year.
  • With a terrific 4.7 adjusted catches per game (93rd percentile) this year, Mark Andrews stands among the top TEs in the pass game in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Ravens to pass on 51.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The model projects the Ravens offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.13 seconds per snap.
  • Mark Andrews has been much less involved in his team's pass game this year (23.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (29.9%).
  • This year, the imposing Cardinals defense has conceded a measly 69.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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