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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore Ravens have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Todd Monken, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

In this game, Mark Andrews is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.9 targets.

With an exceptional 5.0 adjusted receptions per game (95th percentile) this year, Mark Andrews has been as one of the top tight ends in the pass game in the league.

Mark Andrews's 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season represents a a substantial gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 65.7% mark.

This year, the poor Tennessee Titans pass defense has yielded a staggering 81.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the 6th-worst rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored this week, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 52.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are expected by our trusted projection set to run only 63.2 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

Mark Andrews has been a much smaller piece of his team's pass game this season (23.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (29.9%).

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