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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

Baltimore Ravens vs Kansas City Chiefs

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is predicted by the projection model to have 133.4 plays on offense run: the highest number among all games this week.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

Mark Andrews ranks as one of the top pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a remarkable 4.5 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 92nd percentile.

Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 65.7% to 74.6%.

The Chiefs safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Ravens being a 4.5-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to pass on 50.1% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to lean on the pass against the Chiefs, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.2 per game) this year.

While Mark Andrews has garnered 22.0% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much less involved in Baltimore's offense this week at 16.0%.

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