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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-140/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to garner 7.5 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 97th percentile among TEs.

Mark Andrews's 67.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 61.7.

The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Mark Andrews's play as a receiver has diminished this season, totaling just 4.6 yards per game vs 6.4 last season.

Mark Andrews's sure-handedness have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 73.1% to 63.6%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 7th-best safety corps in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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