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Mark Andrews

Mark Andrews Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons

Mark Andrews Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.0 (-110/-130).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Mark Andrews to notch 6.3 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 95th percentile among tight ends.

Mark Andrews's 68.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 61.7.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Completion% in the league (74.4%) versus tight ends this year (74.4%).

The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 6th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 10th-least in the NFL.

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